Laughing at clowns

Monday, 2 May 2016

No, the world ISN'T getting warmer

Sometimes you have to go back an re-examine claims made by global warming bozos to prove just how stupid they were.

The bozos this time are David Rose and the Daily Mail. Exactly three years ago the Mail published a story with the headline
The Great Green Con no. 1: The hard proof that finally shows global warming forecasts that are costing you billions were WRONG all along
With the claims that
No, the world ISN'T getting warmer
and
The graph on this page blows apart the ‘scientific basis’ for Britain reshaping its entire economy and spending billions in taxes and subsidies in order to cut emissions of greenhouse gases
and
But when the latest official global temperature figures from the Met Office are placed over the predictions, they show how wrong the estimates have been, to the point of falling out of the ‘95 per cent’ band completely. The graph shows in incontrovertible detail how the speed of global warming has been massively overestimated. 
Based on a graph they had "borrowed" (uncredited) from Ed Hawkins.

Three years later, this is what global temperatures look like:
The graph shows projected global temperature with 75% and 95% certainty.

And the legend reads
...and this heavy black line is the official world average temperature- which is about to crash out of them both.
Or not.

Actual temperatures for 2014 and 2015 from the Met Office.
Observed and likely temperatures for 2016 from Berkeley Earth.
Of course the fact that temperatures are now at the top of the range does not mean that global warming has speeded up, any more than the fact that they were at the bottom of the range three years ago did not mean global warming had stopped.

It's just natural variability.

Which is in the models.

But time has proved David Rose and the Mail's claims to be clownish.



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